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Fri, 24 May 2013 20:43:17
Sri Lanka resumes printing money to sterilize forex sales
06 Oct, 2012 08:18:59
Oct 06, 2012 (LBO) - Sri Lanka's central bank has sterilized a foreign exchange sale injecting 8.0 billion rupees in one-month money into the banking system, ending several weeks of monetary policy that has been favourable of a stronger exchange rate.
On Friday the central bank printed 8.0 billion rupees for one month at 9.81 percent, slightly above the 9.75 percent reverse repo rate at which overnight liquidity is injected into the banking system for 31 days.

Until Thursday the monetary authority was injecting cash overnight in to the banking system, following a large liquidity shortage that occurred in late September. In a pegged exchange rate system, a large liquidity shortage occurs through an unsterilized foreign exchange sale.

While overnight rupee injections also generate demand in the economy, it can be less damaging than longer term cash injections, since bank managers will not try to grow the loan book while funding the balance sheet with overnight liquidity.

Instead they will try to cover the positions by curbing loan growth or raising more deposits or both.

But central bank liquidity injections through term Treasury bill purchases allow banks to focus on loans again, preventing the adjustment of the economy to the outflow of money through the central bank foreign exchange sales and triggering balance of payments trouble.

Analysts say in Sri Lanka it is state banks, which provide credit to loss making state energy enterprises or fund the state cash shortages were most likely run short of rupee reserves in previous balance of payments crises episodes.

Unsterilized foreign exchange sales (especially when banks are forced to run short reserves instead of being given overnight liquidity) do not result in any weakness in the foreign exchange peg.

Hard pegs or currency boards, make unsterilized forex transactions since the monetary authority cannot legally print money either to finance a state deficit budget or to sterilize foreign exchange sales.

Sterilized foreign exchange sales are a feature of so-called 'soft-pegs' which were built under US advice shortly after the Second World War under the failed Bretton Woods system leading to currency collapse around the world including in Sri Lanka.

LBO's economics columnist fuss-budget says soft-pegs were pushed by American interventionists including Harry Dexter White, a US Treasury official who was the architect of the both the Bretton Woods system and the International Monetary Fund which was created to rescue pegs that ran into trouble.

Dexter White, who headed the Office of Monetary Research of the US Treasury was later suspected to be a communist agent named as 'Jurist' in Soviet communications following a probe by the 'Venona' cryptography project of the American intelligence services.

Sterilized foreign exchange sales, as well as the ability of newly created central banks to monetize debt - especially in former British colonial territories - triggered balance of payments crises and impoverished entire populations with high inflation and currency depreciation in the post war years.

The US itself fell prey to the sterilized foreign exchange sales in 1971-73 leading to the collapse of the Bretton Woods and the gold peg to the dollar and the creation of high-inflating floating fiat currencies.

"The Bretton Woods soft-peg system was in essence an interventionist scam in the Mercantilist tradition, which helped rulers to intervene, deficit spend, cheat the citizens and expropriate their savings through currency depreciation and inflation," says fuss-budget.

"At best it was a failed monetary experiment of the Treasury's Office of Monetary Research. This was realized by the major central banks which floated in 1973 as well as others who went back to currency boards, like Singapore."

A money printing central bank can engage in four types of foreign exchange transactions.

In an unsterilized forex sale dollars are sold but no rupees are injected to the banking system to fill or 'sterilize' the resulting liquidity shortage triggering a tightening of the monetary system.

In an unsterilized purchase dollars are bought (increasing foreign reserves temporarily) but liquidity is left in the banking system to be given out as future loans, which will deplete the dollar reserves when the peg is defended through unsterilized sales. The peg remains fixed.

In a sterilized foreign exchange purchase, forex is bought by the central bank but the liquidity is drained by the sale of securities in its portfolio blocking future loans by banks, leading to a 'locking up' or permanent increase in foreign reserves.

In a sterilized foreign exchange sale, dollars are sold by the monetary authority and money is printed adding to new demand and preventing the monetary system or the economy from tightening leading to further import demand requiring more intervention.

When a cycle of interventions and liquidity injection develops, foreign reserves are rapidly lost in an ever faster downward slide in a so-called balance of payments crisis, requiring a 'float' of the currency to break the cycle.

Since the ending of sterilized foreign exchange sales by the Central Bank after May 2012, and the resumption of some sterilized foreign exchange purchases in August, the rupee peg had appreciated from 134 to 129 to the US dollar.

The rupee however weakened on Thursday, and there was state bank selling to push the exchange rate up, while liquidity was already short. There was also heavy 'moral suasion', dealers said.

Sri Lanka has had balance of payments trouble since the creation of a central bank capable of sterilized foreign exchange sales in 1951 to enter the Bretton Woods system, ending a currency board which could only engage in unsterilized sales and had no liquidity window.

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READER COMMENT(S)
8. fuss Oct 13
@Wadda Podda After the 2000 crisis, the rupee appreciated from around 100 to lower 1990s until the Rata Perata energy manipulation and money printing fiasco in 2004.

The rupee also appreciated after the 2009 balance of payments crisis. When the currency was floated in April 2009 to get IMF funding, the rupee fell to 120. Post the current crisis the the rupee has appreciated from 134 something to 128 something. So far.

7. Wadda Podda Oct 13
@fuss. I like that one about the 'the rupee will however stop appreciating'. Since when has the rupee appreciated and against which currency. If ever, it was that some currencies that lost value internationally and not that the rupee appreciated. It's easy to see why with sort of arguments that Sri Lanka has become the Wonder of Asia
6. fuss Oct 13
@Gihan
You are welcome. We are unlikely to go into a balance of payments crisis now since there is no fixed peg that we are defending.

The rupee can however stop appreciating, (unless there is an increase in real money demand).

An isolated 8.0 billion rupee injection of money could probably be taken care of with a 50 cent or one rupee adjustment to the exchange rate.

5. fuss Oct 13
Hi Nalliah,
A few points against the demonizing of the Jewish minority and the horrific nationalism displayed in these writings.

Germany managed to get into hyperinflation again towards the end of WWII with no help from the hated 'Zionist' minority.

Monetary history shows that private banks in general had a better record, most probably because their activities were easily questioned by the public and parliament. Also they lost gold when too much money was printed.

Private banks seem to have been better than politicians who had gained control of the post-feudal monetary and tax systems pretending to work for the betterment of the people.

Examples include Bank of England the pound's decline since the 1914 outbreak of war (and concurrent suspension of the gold convertibility) came with the British Treasury printing notes in addition to the bank during WWI. The paper of Reserve Bank of India money was used as far as the Middle East when it was privately owned. It lost value only after RBI was nationalised. The Fed was a semi-state state bank from its inception and created the great depression within 15 years of its existence, a feat that the 'Zionist' free bankers (Rothschild, Morgan et all) had not been able to achieve in America during the previous one and a half centuries.

If Germany should not pay reparations to its victims for its aggressive nationalism, who should? The victims themselves?

Research by Mises and others showed that the story of German war reparations was bogus. The net borrowings of Germany in the period of war reparations were higher than the payments. Germany in fact had paid very little before stopping altogether.

To quote Mises: "From September, 1924, until July, 1931, Germany paid as reparations under the Dawes and Young plans 10,821 million Reichsmarks. Then the payments stopped altogether. Against this outflow Germany’s private and public indebtedness abroad, most of which originated in the same period, amounted to something over 20,500 million Reichsmarks. To this may be added approximately 5,000 million Reichsmarks of direct foreign investments in Germany. It is obvious that Germany did not suffer from lack of capital. If any more proof were needed it may be found in the fact that Germany invested in the same period approximately 10,000 million Reichsmarks abroad.

The reparations were not responsible for Germany’s economic distress. But if the Allies had insisted on their payment, they would have seriously hampered Germany’s rearmament.

"The antireparations campaign resulted in a complete fiasco for the Allies and in the full success of Germany’s refusal to pay. What the Germans did pay they paid out of foreign borrowings which they later repudiated. Thus the whole burden in fact fell on foreigners."

Germany under Hitler was forever in foreign exchange trouble, probably helped by Hjalmar Schacht's MEFO bills as well.

It was the foreign exchange trouble which led to Hitler's 'export or die' speech. Export or die was not something coined by JR as most people in this country think, it was Hitler in 1937 who said that. It was also German forex shortages (caused by money printing) that led to Nazi self-sufficiency or autarky, a policy which has continued to hurt the world long after German Nazism died.

'Dr. Schacht' even before he fell out with the Nazis had to strike barter deals because too much Reichmarks/Mefo bills etc were floating around creating foreign exchange shortages. It may be fine to pay with Treasury Labour Certificates, but what happens when they come up for redemption?

The third and final point against these anti minority rantings is what happened to Germany after WWII.

Under Ludwig Erhard the Deutschemark was issued, which was a very strong currency. The German so-called 'economic miracle' under Erhard is an example for the entire world. He liberalized the entire country in a single day without the approval of the occupying allied forces, when America and Britain were trying intervention and money printing.

West Germany in fact paid for the upkeep of its 'occupation' armies also, though it was a beneficiary of the US Marshall plan.

The German 'economic miracle' was a not a temporary three year bubble. And the German people and its politicians and the Bundesbank has not forgotten the lesson even now as can be seen by what is happening in Europe.

4. Nalliah Thayabharan Oct 13
Germany was hopelessly broke when Adolf Hitler came to power in 1933 . The Treaty of Versailles (le Traité de Versailles) had imposed crushing reparations on the German people, demanding that Germans repay every nation’s costs of the war. These costs totaled three times the value of all the property in Germany.

Private currency speculators caused the German currency to plummet, precipitating one of the worst runaway inflations in modern times. A wheelbarrow full of 100 billion-mark banknotes could not buy a loaf of bread. The national treasury was empty. Countless homes and farms were lost to speculators and to private Zionist controlled banks. Germans lived in hovels. They were starving.

Nothing like this had ever happened before - the total destruction of the national currency - German mark, plus the wiping out of German’s savings and businesses. On top of this came a global depression. Germany had no choice but to succumb to debt slavery under international Zionist bankers until 1933, when the National Socialists came to power. At that point the German government thwarted the Zionist international banking cartels by issuing its own money. Zionist bankers responded by declaring a global boycott against Germany.

Adolf Hitler began a national credit program by devising a plan of public works that included flood control, repair of public buildings and private residences, and construction of new roads, bridges, canals, and port facilities. All these were paid for with money that no longer came from the private international Zionist bankers.

The projected cost of these various programs was fixed at one billion units of the national currency. To pay for this, the German government (not the international Zionist bankers) issued bills of exchange, called Labor Treasury Certificates. In this way the National Socialists put millions of people to work, and paid them with Treasury Certificates.

Under the National Socialists, Germany’s money wasn’t backed by gold which was owned by the international Zionist bankers. It was essentially a receipt for labor and materials delivered to the government. Adolf Hitler said, “For every mark issued, we required the equivalent of a mark’s worth of work done, or goods produced.” The government paid workers in Certificates. Workers spent those Certificates on other goods and services, thus creating more jobs for more people. In this way the German people climbed out of the crushing debt imposed on them by the international Zionist bankers.

Within two years, the unemployment problem in Germany had been solved, and Germany was back on its feet. It had a solid, stable currency, with no debt, and no inflation, at a time when millions of people in the United States and other Western countries controlled by international Zionist bankers were still out of work. Within five years, Germany went from the poorest nation in Europe to the richest.

Germany even managed to restore foreign trade, despite the international Zionist bankers’ denial of foreign credit to Germany, and despite the global boycott by Zionist-owned industries. Germany succeeded in this by exchanging equipment and commodities directly with other countries, using a barter system that cut the private Zionist bankers out of the picture. Germany flourished, since barter eliminates national debt and trade deficits. Today Venezuela does the same thing today when it trades oil for commodities, plus medical help, and so on. Hence the Zionist bankers are trying to squeeze Venezuela.

Hjalmar Schacht, a Rothschild agent who was temporarily head of the German central bank, summed it up thus… An American banker had commented, “Dr. Schacht, you should come to America. We’ve lots of money and that’s real banking.” Schacht replied, “You should come to Berlin. We don’t have money. That’s real banking.”

Schacht, the Rothschild agent, actually supported the private international Zionist bankers against Germany, and was rewarded by having all charges against him dropped at the Nuremberg trials.

This economic freedom made Adolf Hitler extremely popular with the German people. Germany was rescued from English economic theory, which says that all currency must be borrowed against the gold owned by a private and secretive Zionist banking cartel — such as the Federal Reserve, or the Central Bank of Europe — rather than issued by the government for the benefit of the people.

Canadian researcher Dr. Henry Makow who is Jewish himself says the main reason why the Zionist bankers arranged for a world war against Germany was that Hitler sidestepped the Zionist bankers by creating his own money, thereby freeing the German people. Worse, this freedom and prosperity threatened to spread to other nations. Adolf Hitler had to be stopped!

Makow quotes from the 1938 interrogation of Christian Rakovsky, one of the founders of Soviet Bolsevism and a Lev Davidovich Bronshtein (Trotsky) intimate. Christian Rakovsky was tried in show trials in the USSR under Joseph Vissarionovich Stalin. According to Christian Rakovsky, Adolf Hitler was at first funded by the international Zionist bankers, through the bankers’ agent Hjalmar Schacht. The bankers financed Adolf Hitler in order to control Joseph Stalin, who had usurped power from their agent Lev Davidovich Bronshtein (Trotsky). Then Adolf Hitler became an even bigger threat than Joseph Stalin when Hitler started printing his own money.

Joseph Stalin came to power in 1922, which was eleven years before Adolf Hitler came to power.

Christian Rakovsky said:

“Adolf Hitler took over the privilege of manufacturing money, and not only physical moneys, but also financial ones. He took over the machinery of falsification and put it to work for the benefit of the people. Can you possibly imagine what would have come if this had infected a number of other states?” (Henry Makow, “Hitler Did Not Want War”).

Economist Henry C K Liu writes of Germany’s remarkable transformation:

“The Nazis came to power in 1933 when the German economy was in total collapse, with ruinous war-reparation obligations and zero prospects for foreign investment or credit. Through an independent monetary policy of sovereign credit and a full-employment public-works program, the Third Reich was able to turn a bankrupt Germany, stripped of overseas colonies, into the strongest economy in Europe within four years, even before armament spending began.” (Henry C. K. Liu, “Nazism and the German Economic Miracle”).

In Billions for the Bankers, Debts for the People (1984), Sheldon Emry commented:

“Germany issued debt-free and interest-free money from 1935 on, which accounts for Germany’s startling rise from the depression to a world power in five years. The German government financed its entire operations from 1935 to 1945 without gold, and without debt. It took the entire Capitalist and Communist world to destroy the German revolution, and bring Europe back under the heel of the Bankers.”

These facts do not appear in any textbooks today, since Zionist own most publishing companies. What does appear is the disastrous runaway inflation suffered in 1923 by the Weimar Republic, which governed Germany from 1919 to 1933. Today’s textbooks use this inflation to twist truth into its opposite. They cite the radical devaluation of the German mark as an example of what goes wrong when governments print their own money, rather than borrow it from private Zionist cartels.

In reality, the Weimar financial crisis began with the impossible reparations payments imposed at the Treaty of Versailles. Hjalmar Schacht – the Rothschild agent who was currency commissioner for the Republic — opposed letting the German government print its own money… “The Treaty of Versailles is a model of ingenious measures for the economic destruction of Germany. Germany could not find any way of holding its head above the water, other than by the inflationary expedient of printing bank notes.”

Schacht echoes the textbook lie that Weimar inflation was caused when the German government printed its own money. However, in his 1967 book The Magic of Money, Schacht let the cat out of the bag by revealing that it was the PRIVATELY-OWNED Reichsbank, not the German government, that was pumping new currency into the economy. Thus, the PRIVATE BANK caused the Weimar hyper-inflation.

Like the U.S. Federal Reserve, the Reichsbank was overseen by appointed government officials, but was operated for private gain. What drove the wartime inflation into hyperinflation was speculation by foreign investors, who sold the mark short, betting on its decreasing value. In the manipulative device known as the short sale, speculators borrow something they don’t own, sell it, and then “cover” by buying it back at the lower price.

Speculation in the German mark was made possible because the PRIVATELY OWNED Reichsbank (not yet under Nazi control) made massive amounts of currency available for borrowing. This currency, like U.S. currency today, was created with accounting entries on the bank’s books. Then the funny-money was lent at compound interest. When the Reichsbank could not keep up with the voracious demand for marks, other private banks were allowed to create marks out of nothing, and to lend them at interest. The result was runaway debt and inflation.

Thus, according to Schacht himself, the German government did not cause the Weimar hyperinflation. On the contrary, the government (under the National Socialists) got hyperinflation under control. The National Socialists put the Reichsbank under strict government regulation, and took prompt corrective measures to eliminate foreign speculation. One of those measures was to eliminate easy access to funny-money loans from private banks. Then Adolf Hitler got Germany back on its feet by having the public government issue Treasury Certificates.

Schacht , the Rothschild agent, disapproved of this government fiat money, and wound up getting fired as head of the Reichsbank when he refused to issue it. Nonetheless, he acknowledged in his later memoirs that allowing the government to issue the money it needed did not produce the price inflation predicted by classical economic theory, which says that currency must be borrowed from private cartels.

What causes hyper-inflation is uncontrolled speculation. When speculation is coupled with debt (owed to private Zionist banking cartels) the result is disaster. On the other hand, when a government issues currency in carefully measured ways, it causes supply and demand to increase together, leaving prices unaffected. Hence there is no inflation, no debt, no unemployment, and no need for income taxes.

Naturally this terrifies the Zionist bankers, since it eliminates their powers. It also terrifies Zionists, since their control of banking allows them to buy the media, the government, and everything else.

3. Gihan Oct 10
Thank you fus for replying,
what I'm trying to say is that by looking at liquidity position of the financial system and domestic assets of CB, we cannot judge the type of foreign exchange intervention that CB is currently making. Because similar changes in the liquidity position and domestic assets could occur in different types of foreign exchange interventions by CB, such as sterilizing foreign exhange outflows and unsterilized intervention on foreign exchange inflows. it is in this light i'm saying that in such a situation we can only judge the type of intervention by looking at latest changes in forex reserves which is unavailable. however if you know for a fact that dollars are being sold by CB to the financial system through the two state banks (which we donot know) coupled with simultaneous rupee liquidity injections, then of course there is no issue in the judgement that we are again heading towards a bop problem. thanks again for the kind reply
2. fuss Oct 10
Hi Gihan
The outflow could have been capital or current.

Looking at reserve numbers may not really give a proper idea of sterilization. Reserve numbers may change due to interest income or marking to market. Sri Lanka's official reserves also contain fiscal reserves.

Fiscal reserve movements have no bearing on the exchange rate since there is no reserve pass-through (the domestic monetary base is untouched).

Sterilization is a money market operation. Variations in domestic assets or more particularly liquidity movements are good indicators of sterilization.

Domestic assets (T-bill stock) can also change due to serve appropriations for loan settlements.

The central bank can lend of sell reserves for any asset (bills, bonds, bricks or vehicles) other than rupee notes without hurting the exchange rate but only losing reserves.

The problem with selling for rupees is that it creates a liquidity shortage which is cleared with newly created rupees as well as a loss of forex reserves.

The problem with creating additional rupee notes is that according to the law or rules the new rupees which are liabilities of the Central Bank are exchangeable for dollars. Creating other central bank liabilities such as CB Securities does not have the same effect in the monetary system since they are not exchangeable for dollars.

1. Gihan Oct 08
How can you say for sure hat right now CB is sterilizing captal outflows? Samilar changes in interest rates and exchnge rate would occur in a situation where CB is making an unsterilized foreign exchange intervention on capital inflows. We can only judge this by looking at latest changes in gross foreign reserves of CB, which is currently unavailable.