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Sri Lanka's inflation accelerates to 9.3-pct in June
29 Jun, 2012 17:53:29
June 29, 2012 (LBO) - Sri Lanka's consumer prices rose 9.3 percent in June 2012 from a year earlier, accelerating to a three and a half year high, from 7.0 percent in May, data from the state statistics office showed.
The statistics office said Sri Lanka's Colombo Consumer Price Index rose 1.9 percent during the month of June to 165.2 points.

Inflation showed up most in food prices which rose 3.8 percent. Non foods rose 0.4 percent.

Sri Lanka's rupee fell from 110 to 133 rupees over the past year, following contradictory monetary policy conducted by the Central Bank which pushed credit to unsustainable levels and triggered a balance of payments crisis.

Sri Lanka's inflation last hit these levels in January 2009 when prices rose 10.7 percent from a year earlier, during the island's previous balance of payments crisis.

Sri Lanka gets into frequent balance of payments crises because the island has a so-called soft pegged Central Bank which sterilizes foreign exchange sales with printed money and tries to control interest rates and exchange rates simultaneously.

Sri Lanka's central bank has been able to keep inflation to low single digits for nearly three years, but the monetary authority failed to raise rates in early 2011 when inflation spiked sharply and the stock market was bubbling amid a credit boom.

Later when rulers manipulated oil prices with large volumes of bank credit, the central bank also failed to allow rates to rise.

Authorities have also manipulated the inflation index.

Analysts say the Central Bank should target a very narrow inflation rate of around 2.5 to 3.0 percent and stop manipulating the inflation index to avoid balance of payments crises and high inflation in the future.

Though the current index showed the last highest inflation since June 2012 at January 2009, an earlier index that was discontinued in May 2011 showed an inflation of 9.8 percent in April 2011.

A new inflation index was created then to show inflation at 8.9 percent instead of 9.8 percent in that month.

By targeting inflation that has been understated, a central bank will allow bubbles to develop which later results in an economic collapse. In Western markets such as the US, indices are manipulated with even more sophisticated techniques.

When central banks target so-called 'core-inflation' indices - probably the most sophisticated of devices to understate inflation - even greater economic bubbles and collapses happen. Core inflation is targeted by the Federal Reserve.

There have also been calls to abolish the central bank and return to a pre-1951 currency board to prevent exchange rate depreciation and high inflation.

Updated II

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READER COMMENT(S)
5. no wonder Jul 04
GOSL is more focused to inflate the public sector to give more permits and government loans for ailing public sector at cheap rates for supports thier election campaigns. More luxury items for policcas by widening fiscal deficit and borrow from local to global to erradicate the poor (not the poverty).
4. wonder Jun 30
Central Bank and others spoiling Wonder of Asia.
3. no confidence Jun 30
All the dollars has been drained out to buy things and money transfers.
2. xFernando Jun 30
What perplexes me is what the government is planning to do about the ever deteriorating economic situation in Sri Lanka? Inflarion is on the rise, debt levels are on the rise, income differential between the rich and the poor is widening, investor confidence is falling and our currency is moving towards oblivion.

Do we even have a plan in place to turn things around?

1. Lazarus Jun 29
By end of the year rupee could be 150 to a dollar.
Maybe they will give more permits, see the amount of BMW's on the road, at the expense of the suffering of the average Sri Lankan.

Also the suffering maids who need to send the foreign currency

Why doesn't the opposition object to this permit scheme?