Decisive Bunch

HNB rnStockbrokers Head of Research Hasitha Premaratna arrives at his conclusion on rnthree scenarios based on the districts bagged by each party.

rnProjections for the general election 2004 - based on percentage deviation from rnthe results of 2001 polls - shows that the JHU is expected to secure 10 endash 15 rnseats, with the TNA getting 20 out of the 31 seats in the northeast (See Table rn3).

With these rntwo parties bagging approximately 30-35 seats (12 percent endash 16 percent) the two rnmajor parties will be left with 180 endash 185 seats.