ADB downgrades growth for South Asia

Dec 07, 2012 (LBO) – The Asian Development Bank has downgraded the growth forecast for South Asia by 0.2 percent to 5.3 percent in 2012 and 6.2 percent in 2013 on a slowing Indian economy. China is expected to grow 7.7 percent (8.1 percent next year) and South East Asia 5.3 percent (5.5 percent next year).

“In India, recent economic data suggest that the economy remains sluggish,” the ADB said in a update to its Asian Development Outlook.

“The JulySeptember national accounts validate this weakness.”

Gross domestic product growth has dipped to 5.3 percent in the second quarter of 2012 from 6.7 percent a year earlier, with poor output from farm and manufacturing sectors. Growth in private consumption expenditure was one of the lowest in years.

India’s exchange rate has fallen over the past year amid interventions by the Reserve Bank of India.

In 2012 India is expected to grow 5.4 percent down from an earlier forecast of 5.6 percent, and a 2013 forecast has been cut to 6.5 percent from 6.7 percent.

“In the Maldives, recent political turmoil, growing concern over the increasing fiscal deficit, rising public
debt, and the effect of the weaker European economy o