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S. economic recovery is continuing and interest rates remain low in other major global economies.” the bank says. However, the report argues that there are considerable risks around this expectation.
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“Just as the initial announcement of U.S. policy normalization caused turmoil in financial markets in 2013 - now referred to as the "taper tantrum" - the U.S. Federal Reserve's first interest rate increase, or liftoff, since the global financial crisis could ignite market volatility and reduce capital flows to emerging markets by up to 1.8 percentage points of GDP.” An economist of the World Bank says the ground beneath the global economy is shifting slowly. “China has avoided the potholes skillfully for now and is easing to a growth rate of 7.
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1 percent; Brazil, with its corruption scandal making news, has been less lucky, dipping into negative growth. With an expected growth of 7.5 percent this year, India is, for the first time, leading the World Bank’s growth chart of major economies,” said Kaushik Basu, World Bank Chief Economist and Senior Vice President. “The main shadow over this moving landscape is of the eventual U.
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S. liftoff,” “This could dampen capital flows and raise borrowing costs. This GEP provides a comprehensive analysis of what the liftoff may mean for the developing world.” The report says that this action would especially hurt emerging markets with greater vulnerabilities and weakening growth prospects.