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Moody’s changes outlook on China credit rating to negative


Mar 02, 2016 (LBO) – Moody's Investors Service has today changed the outlook to negative from stable on China's government credit ratings, while affirming the Aa3 long-term senior unsecured debt, issuer ratings, and (P)Aa3 senior unsecured shelf rating.
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The key drivers of the outlook revision are: 1. The ongoing and prospective weakening of fiscal metrics, as reflected in rising government debt and in large and rising contingent liabilities on the government balance sheet.
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2. A continuing fall in reserve buffers due to capital outflows, which highlight policy, currency and growth risks.
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3. Uncertainty about the authorities' capacity to implement reforms -- given the scale of reform challenges -- to address imbalances in the economy.
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At the same time, China's fiscal and foreign exchange reserve buffers remain sizeable, giving the authorities time to implement some reforms and gradually address imbalances in the economy, Moody's said.
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Moody's further said this underpins the decision to affirm China's Aa3 rating.
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