Opinion: The Importance of maintaining FDIs amidst changing governments

By Jithendra Antonio: 

As the presidential election draws near, the people are eagerly awaiting the next era of Sri Lanka. There is no doubt that the result of the election will have a lasting impact on the nation and the economy. One of the most important aspects that the next government should focus on, is not just maintaining, but upping the pace of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) that the incumbent government has been able to secure.

When it comes to foreign policy, Sri Lanka has maintained a strong non-aligned stance, not just in name. We have close diplomatic relations with countries who are often at the opposite end of ideological or political spectrum such as The United States, China, The United Kingdom, Russia, India, Japan and Pakistan. This has helped us to engage with the governments of these countries in a manner that benefits everyone. Here we are able to keep our interest in the centrepoint and forge mutually beneficial relationship without being a pawn in the political game of any nation. 

While it is true that certain parties and politicians may have different views regarding international relations, it is vital that we as a nation maintain our non-aligned stance. Historically, and it is true for most nations, when even governments change, there is typically a continuity of foreign policy. 

Thanks to this stance, Sri Lanka has secured numerous FDIs from multiple countries. A lot of these projects, such as the ones in ports, renewable energy and infrastructure will have a long lasting effect on the economy of the country. It is vital that this is maintained and given the necessary support by the government so that the citizens can reap the benefits of them.

Losing FDIs can be absolutely detrimental to a country’s economy. The best example is from our very own country, where the previous government stopped Western Region Megapolis Light Rail Transit (colloquially referred to as the ‘Light Rail Project’). 

The project, valued at approximately US$1.5 billion, was initiated in 2017 during Maithripala Sirisena's presidency and was considered the largest foreign-funded infrastructure undertaking in Sri Lanka. The Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) financed the project with an exceptionally low-interest loan of just 0.1%, repayable over 40 years with a 12-year grace period. However, in September 2020, the then government canceled the project.

This resulted in not just monetary loss for the country but also derailment of a public transportation infrastructure project, which could have helped the citizens and also the environment.  

In 2022, Sri Lanka faced its worst economic crisis since independence. The Light Rail System may have helped the government mitigate the economic crisis without it getting so severe. During that time, transportation was also a serious issue for the general public who had limited access to vehicles, fuel and public transportation. The light rail could have greatly aided in this aspect as well.

But this was not the first instance of FDIs being driven out of the country. In the 1960s and the early 1970s, the then government nationalized key sectors of the country’s economy, including transport, banking, insurance and segments of the energy sector. Prior to this, companies such as British Petroleum, The Shell Company and a host of other international companies had a significant presence in the country and employed hundreds of people – directly and indirectly, besides contributing to the exchequer by way of taxes. This nationalization drive drove these companies out of the country. 

Even though the economy was opened up in 1977, the subsequent governments could not convince these companies to come back to the country. It is very difficult to rebuild trust amongst foreign investors if they once retreat owing to sudden policy changes. 

The average person may not always understand the direct and indirect benefits of FDIs such as these, but they will feel the repercussions of not having them.

While it is understandable that each new president has their own vision for the nation, it is vital to keep the future of the country in mind. The benefits of FDIs are not just limited to the country today but are also beneficial to the future generations as well. 

Global money is fungible, and it will always flow to the next most attractive destination. Here is hoping that the new regime, whichever it is, while encouraging a conducive FDI environment also ensures a level playing field for the domestic industry. 

(The writer is a Consultant specialised in Data Analytics with a Special Focus on Sri Lanka’s Future Direction, and in the fields of Sustainable Energy, ESG, Investments and telecommunications. He can be reached at jithendra.antonio@gmail.com.)

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lankadial
10 days ago

thankyou

Ruchira Kitsiri
Ruchira Kitsiri
8 days ago

Hello Jithendra,

You have above stated: “When it comes to foreign policy, Sri Lanka has maintained a strong non-aligned stance, not just in name.”

Are you sure?

Perhaps there was a time our foreign policy was truly non-aligned. But it’s current actual position is anything but non-aligned.

Both Ranil & Sajith work according to an Indian agenda. Well let me try that again. They work for India. Not for Sri Lanka. That’s more reflective of the truth now. It’s about establishing Indian hegemony in the region and splitting the country along ethnoreligious lines, creating further disharmony among different ethnoreligious groups. Creating a space and a platform for rogue Indian investors to take a foothold in the Sri Lankan economy, along with the LTTE, with links to Mafia networks.
.
Hoping Namal is nowhere near clinching victory, Ranil or Sajith winning will take Sri Lanka down a very dark alley. They of course will make sure thst macroeconomic indicators look impressive, so that the World Bank and the IMF and other donors are happy while Sri Lanka and its citizens become vassals of India. If that’s the outcome that people want, yeah Ranil or Sajith is your man. Summa and ITAK have already announced their support to Sajith despite there being a Tamil candidate. Some might even say it’s a good thing noh..?

You may also want to check with Ashanthi Ratnasingham who has authored the below for further information:

https://www.lankabusinessonline.com/you-think-less-of-your-country-than-i-do-mo-gawdat-on-sri-lanka/

Ruchira Kitsiri
Ruchira Kitsiri
6 days ago

Here’s another issue to be concerned with.

Investors, particularly from outside the region would know what we Sri Lankans including our policy makers would not know about the country – how much of national wealth is illegally parked outside the country in offshore tax havens? Why even after being revealed government has not made any attenpts to recover them?

This was Wijedasa Rajapaksa back then: https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-justice-minister-suggests-amnesty-for-offshore-account-holders-133401/

Wijedasa Rajapaksa now claims that it is an issue of poor law enforcement or a weak legislative framework, that are amongst the law enforcement related issues he is going to fix when he wins the Presidential Elections on the 21st of September, and moneys lost recovered through an appropriate legal discourse.

In addition to poor legal framework and enforcement issues, I think it is a question of political will and competency too – both of politicians as well as officials, and media too that do not expose and tell the truth to the pubic.

How could law makers recover these money, when they themselve park their own ill gotten moneys outside the country?

Businessmen usually are in cahoots with the politicians, together they have only plundered the country. There has never been true democracy or even true capitalism in this country.

The country and its economy are essentially run by fraudsters and rogues, and criminals of various nature, white collar criminals and not so white collar ones.

Investing in Artificial Intelligence alone won’t ensure economic prosperity. It could be achieved only thorough creating an environment conducive to foreign direct investment, while also ensuring development and promotion of local innovation and entrepreneurship, through competitive environments for which laws like antitrust laws are essential amongst a host of other laws – laws pertaining to wire fraud and data protection and intellectual property laws to name a few, and of course competent, honest lawyers and a legal system with integrity that can ensure that justice prevail

Would FDI flow to the country when we can’t simply protect our own money?

The current conditions only attracts equally rogue investors, from TATAs, Ambanis and Adanis to Allirajas of Lycamobile fame. Also look at the list of 6 contenders that have bid for Sri Lankan Airlines – some of them I hear do not even have a corporate website to find out who they are!

Last edited 6 days ago by Ruchira Kitsiri
Ruchira Kitsiri
Ruchira Kitsiri
4 days ago

Here’s one perfect example both evidence and cost of being partial to India.

“TISL raises concerns over Adani’s Sri Lanka power deal; demands transparency”

https://economynext.com/tisl-raises-concerns-over-adanis-sri-lanka-power-deal-demands-transparency-166391

A full disclosure is given on the Transparency International Sri Lanka website aboyt a number issue pertainig to this deal. If our foreign and investment policies were non-aligned government would not enter into such deals that are not for the best interest of the country and its people with no transparency.

“Transparency International Sri Lanka (TISL) has filed a series of Right to Information (RTI) requests with public authorities seeking crucial information regarding the transparency, legality, evaluation process, pricing, government involvement, and the Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) related to the Wind Power Project in Mannar and Pooneryn, involving India’s Adani Group.”

https://www.tisrilanka.org/tisl-demands-transparency-in-adani-wind-power-project-files-right-to-information-applications

This may even lead to threats for Sri Lanka’s sovereignty.

Lester
Lester
21 hours ago

Ruchira,

You are correct about Sri Lanka following a dark path if Ranil wins. India is backwards in every way possible. This is from Bangladesh (similar mindset as India): https://theworldwatch.com/videos/1622385/full-bangladesh-another-person-head-burned-off-from-electrical-wiring/. Remember the Scottish crackpot said it’s okay to hire unqualified people for technical work. This is what happens when you hire unqualified people. If Ranil opens the floodgates to Indian workers, it will be the end of Sri Lanka.

Ruchira Kitsiri
Ruchira Kitsiri
19 hours ago
Reply to  Lester

Lester,

Yeah. You can’t let a technician carry out what is essentially an Engineer’s job, even if the technician is Scottish. I perfectly know what you mean!

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