Sri Lanka to use new tool to assess future electricity demand


Jan 29, 2016 (LBO) – Island’s electricity regulator, the Public Utilities Commission is to adopt an internationally accepted tool to review the forecasted electricity demand in Sri Lanka.

The tool named as MAED (Model for Analysis of Energy Demand) has been developed by International Atomic Energy Agency and offered free of charge to the commission.

Releasing a statement the commission said the new tool evaluates future energy demands based on medium to long term scenarios of socioeconomic, technological and demographic development.

The tool disaggregates the energy demand into a large number of end-use categories corresponding to different goods and services.

It also estimates the influences of social, economic and technological driving factors from a given scenario.

“This combination supports to get an overall picture of future energy demand growth and facilitates forecasting of national power demand,” the commission said.

“The most prominent feature of this model is its flexibility for representing structure of energy consumption.”

The commission also plans to access the Long Term Generation Expansion Plan (2015-2032) of the Ceylon Electricity Board using this new tool.

As per the Long Term Generation Expansion Plan, the electricity generation has been estimated for the year 2015 as 12,901 GWh and it is expected to increase to 13,451 GWh in 2016.

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